After Epic Flash Crash, Gold Price Rebounds: 3 Reasons Why

Journalist:
October 1, 2019

The price of gold bounced back sharply on Tuesday, erasing a portion of Monday’s brutal drop after a protracted downturn in the manufacturing sector sapped risk sentiment from the market.

Gold for December settlement, the most actively traded futures contract, reached a session high of $1,493.50 a troy ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. The yellow metal was last up $12.60, or 0.9%, at $1,485.50 a troy ounce.

Oversold Bounce

The gold bulls got a shot in the arm Tuesday just after the price approached oversold conditions on the relative strength index (RSI). The 4-hour RSI briefly traded below 22 before quickly recovering.

Gold for December settlement rebounds after brush with extreme oversold conditions Monday. | Chart: tradingview.com

On the RSI scale, anything approaching 30 or below is a sign that the market is oversold and due for a bounce.

Bullion nosedived below $1,500 an ounce on Monday. The price is currently testing the support-turned-resistance region of $1,490.

U.S. Manufacturers Slide into Recession

The U.S. manufacturing sector entered a recession last month, joining its counterpart in China struggling to keep orders alive in the wake of a protracted trade war between the two countries.

The Institute for Supply Management’s purchasing managers’ index (PMI) plunged to 47.8 in September, marking the second straight month of negative growth. On the PMI scale, anything below 50 denotes contraction in economic activity.

“Economy seems to be softening. The tariffs have caused much confusion in the industry,” said one survey respondent from the electrical equipment and appliance industry.

“Chinese tariffs going up are hurting our business. Most of the materials are not made in the U.S. and made only in China,” said another from food, beverage and tobacco products.

ISM researchers said U.S. manufacturing activity contracted on several fronts, including demand, consumption and supplier deliveries.

A separate report from IHS Markit on Tuesday showed manufacturing activity grew in September, but only barely. In general, ISM data take precedence over the monthly Markit survey.

Risk Appetite Wanes

Traders rushed back into gold Tuesday while simultaneously cutting ties to equities, sending the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) on a 356-point decline. The blue-chip index closed down 343 points.

The broad S&P 500 Index of large-cap stocks was off more than 1%, with all 11 primary sectors in the red.

European markets declined across the board during Tuesday trading, with the benchmark Euro Stoxx 50 Pr settling down 1.4% at 3,518.25. Major bourses in London, Paris and Frankfurt declined by at least 0.7%.

This article was edited by Sam Bourgi.

Last modified (UTC): October 3, 2019 11:18

Sam Bourgi @hsbourgi

Financial Editor to CCN Markets, Sam Bourgi has spent the past nine years focused on economics, markets and cryptocurrencies. His work has been featured in and cited by some of the world's leading newscasts, including Barron's, CBOE and Forbes. Avid crypto watchers and those with a libertarian persuasion can follow him on twitter at @hsbourgi. Sam is based in Ontario, Canada and can be contacted at sam.bourgi@ccn.com