Here’s Why the Dow Failed to Match the Surging Nasdaq Today

The "stay at home" trade ignited a surging Nasdaq, but here's why the Dow Jones failed to match its tech-heavy peer.
Posted in: Markets
Published:
June 30, 2020 7:32 PM UTC
  • The Nasdaq enjoyed a big gain on Tuesday, but the Dow Jones barely moved at all.
  • Core DJIA component Boeing took a major hit as the outlook for aviation worsened again.
  • One analyst warns that oil price weakness could hurt risk sentiment moving forward.

The Dow Jones failed to keep its rally going on Tuesday, as a positive consumer sentiment reading failed to salvage a meaningful session for the index on Wall Street.

The Nasdaq defied the malaise, but the DJIA hesitated as concerning comments from Dr. Anthony Fauci and the CDC poured cold water on stocks as lockdowns began to reemerge in some U.S. states.

Dow Trends Sideways Despite Solid Consumer Sentiment

The Dow Jones struggled on Tuesday despite improved consumer sentiment data. | Source: Yahoo Finance

It was a very mixed day among the major U.S. stock market indices. The Nasdaq “stay at home trade” enjoyed a healthy rally, while the S&P 500 secured moderate gains and the Dow Jones failed to find much traction.

Here’s where they stood less than 45 minutes ahead of the closing bell:

  • The Dow had gained 19.19 points or 0.07% to rise to 25,614.99.
  • The S&P 500 was up 0.92% at 3,081.36.
  • The Nasdaq had surged 1.33% to 10,005.64.

U.S. consumer confidence comfortably beat expectations today, demonstrating the resilience of households that are apparently enjoying a savings boom.

The big question for the Dow is: Will this story change if (when?) the additional unemployment benefits wear off next month? For many, the deadline is likely to be sooner than the often-quoted July 31 deadline.

The U.S. savings rate is still very elevated compared to its recent average. | Source: St. Louis Federal Reserve

Elsewhere, closely-monitored testimony from Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell failed to exert any obvious impact on risk appetite.

Pivoting to the pandemic, the United States continues to see a surge in cases. In response, roughly 40% of the country is retightening lockdown procedures.

The impact on the stock market has been minimal, but that doesn’t mean that Wall Street isn’t paying close attention.

This is especially true given the concerning commentary from Dr. Anthony Fauci and CDC officials about the state of the U.S. outbreak.

Oil Price a Lurking Threat for the Stock Market

Joshua Mahony, senior market analyst at IG, believes the most prominent threat to risk sentiment could be a vulnerable oil price.

He said in commentary shared with CCN.com:

Oil prices have been on the slide since Friday’s peak, with the surging number of Covid cases in Southern states signaling a potential second hit to demand if stay-at-home instructions are put back into place.

Amongst those… states, Florida, California, and Texas account for almost 30% of U.S. gasoline consumption, highlighting how this crisis could once again damage energy prices if it escalated into another lockdown.

Remember that an oil price war between Russia and Saudi Arabia was a significant contributing factor to the Dow Jones’ massive sell-off earlier this year.

And with plenty of well-paying jobs at risk, the energy industry is of particular importance to the U.S. economy.

Dow 30 Stocks: Boeing Takes a Hit But Goldman Sachs Protects Dividend

On a topsy-turvy day for the Dow 30, the index’s components diverged quite substantially.

Aerospace giant Boeing suffered a 5.4% blow after Norwegian Air Shuttle canceled a sizable order for its 737 MAX jet. This was not the only bad news for BA stockholders, as the other half of the airplane duopoly, Airbus, announced plans for 15,000 layoffs.

Both companies jostle in the same marketplace, and Airbus’ claim that the airline industry may not recover until as late as 2025 spooked bulls.

A surprising bounce for Goldman Sachs came as executives defied the new Federal Reserve restrictions that have led other banks to cut dividends. GS shares rose 1.8%.

Josiah Wilmoth edited this article for CCN.com. If you see a breach of our Code of Ethics or Rights and Duties of the Editor or find a factual, spelling, or grammar error, please contact us.

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Francois Aure @bullishtulips

Financial speculator & author living in the hills in Los Angeles. J.D. but very much not a lawyer. Favorite trading books are anything written by Jack Schwager. | Follow Me On Twitter | Email Me | Article Compilation On Muck Rack

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