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Gold Prices Are Suddenly Surging Again – And Boy, Is the Reason Terrifying

Last Updated September 23, 2020 1:55 PM
Sam Bourgi
Last Updated September 23, 2020 1:55 PM
  • Gold’s price peaked at $1,716.70/oz., reversing Monday’s steep decline.
  • The rally was accompanied by a sharp decline in the U.S. dollar, which often moves inversely to bullion.
  • Fear of a second-wave of coronavirus infections in China is keeping investors on high alert.

Fears of a second-wave of coronavirus infections in Wuhan, China  created an air of risk-off sentiment in the market Tuesday, sending gold prices soaring above $1,700 an ounce. Retaking this key level is a strong signal that investors remain bullish on bullion at a precarious time in the global fight against Covid-19.

Gold Price Recovers

The price of gold rose $18.70, or 1.1%, to $1,716.70 a troy ounce Tuesday, partially offsetting a sharp two-day slump. The yellow metal is currently trading at $1,713.70 a troy ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange.

gold bullion futures
June gold futures are back above $1,700 following back-to-back declines. | Chart: Yahoo Finance 

The yellow metal has returned 12.5% year-to-date but is off roughly 4% from its March peak of $1,788.80 an ounce.

Bullion’s recovery is aided by a sharp drop in the U.S. dollar. The currency, which became the preferred haven during the spring liquidity crisis , declined half a percent on Tuesday. The U.S. dollar index (DXY) is currently valued at 99.85.

US dollar index
DXY, which tracks the dollar’s performance against a basket of six competitor currencies, declined sharply on Tuesday. | Chart: Yahoo Finance 

Wuhan Reports New Coronavirus Infections

Markets are on high alert after the Chinese city of Wuhan reported new cases of coronavirus more than a month after its lockdown was lifted .

The original epicenter of the fatal disease has reported six new cases of local transmission. More than 541 new cases were reported across the mainland, according to the South China Morning Post (SCMP) .

A Wuhan government official has been fired  for poor disease control and calls for the city’s mayor to step down have grown louder.

Mayor Zhou Xianwang said the danger of the disease wasn’t as apparent at the outset of the crisis , which partly explains the government’s poor response:

From the perspective of continued understanding of the situation, it is only at this time that everyone realises it is so dangerous… If we knew at first from the virus spread that it would be so serious, finding effective control and prevention methods of course would be good, but the problem is usually we cannot realize the severity from the outset.

Shulan Outbreak

The northeastern city of Shulan, not far from the Russian and North Korean borders, has emerged as one of the country’s largest clusters. Fourteen new cases were reported over the past two days.

China claims it has a firm handle on the outbreak, with only 84,000 reported cases so far. Organizations like the CIA believe  China not only concealed the extent of the epidemic but also underreported their numbers.

Nevertheless, the global infection rate continues to grow at a steady pace. Data from Johns Hopkins  show over 4.2 million confirmed cases, with more than a third in the United States.

Nations eager to reopen their economies risk a new public health crisis and further economic damage if the disease strikes in a second wave. The silver lining appears to be that the vast majority of infected people are asymptomati c and don’t need any treatment. If true, the actual infection rate could be significantly higher than reported so far.

Disclaimer: The author holds no investment position in gold at the time of writing.