Bitcoin on Friday surged a minor 0.21 percent against the US Dollar, intensifying the bias conflict it has been in since yesterday.
The BTC/USD opened the day while valued at 6590-fiat and is currently fluctuating around 6593-fiat. Between then and now, the pair, however, witnessed a robust intrarange action, in which the value retested 6500-fiat as its psychological support, and found its uptrend capped by an equally strong resistance level near 6627-fiat. The sideways consolidation action offers adequate opportunities to traders to enter and exit markets on decent profits.
The medium-term triangle pattern continues to trap the Bitcoin price action. We still haven’t been able to establish a breakout action, despite BTC/USD moving in an upward parallel channel. On smaller timeframes, the pair is trending above its 100 and 200H SMAs, while the RSI and Stochastic both are also inside a buying region, with their heads towards the north.
A near-term bullish sentiment can be established if BTC/USD closes above the upper trendline of the prevailing triangle formation. Similarly, a sell-off towards the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the last swing from 6447-low and 6627-high could switch the bias towards bears. If the long-term trend is taken into consideration, BTC/USD is clearly going down to retest its bottom range below 6000-fiat.
No wondering too much about where the price would go, we will rather focus on what we can make out of the current sideways action. That said, let’s see what levels are we watching out for today.
As of now, the upper trendline of the triangle formation serves as our interim resistance. A breakout scenario will be confirmed if we break above 6627-fiat. Even if we don’t, a false breakout signal on a close above the interim resistance would have us put a long position towards 6627-fiat. Also, a stop loss 3-pips below the entry level will define our risk.
If we do break above 6627-fiat, we’ll confirm a near-term bullish bias, and open a long position towards 6660-fiat, the higher high from September 30.
Conversely, a pullback from the interim resistance level would have us enter a short position towards 6558-fiat. At the same time, we’ll open a stop loss order 3-pips above the entry level to protect our trade from additional losses, if price reverses towards the north.
Featured Image from Shutterstock. Charts from TradingView.
Last modified: May 20, 2020 5:17 PM