Bitcoin Price Analysis: Sideways Then Down

Venzen Khaosan @venzen
July 28, 2016

Bitcoin price toys with gravity after a non-committal Fed rates hold. Few large players, who have little perceived need for Bitcoin’s features, have any reason to hold a slumping commodity while stocks push to new highs.

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Bitcoin Price Analysis

Time of analysis: 15h00 UTC

Bitstamp 4-Hour Candle Chart

From the analysis pages of, earlier today:

The outlook remains the same as yesterday: the 1day and 3day charts are bearish, and we anticipate decline.

The 4hr candle chart MACD remains below zero. The proposal is that the market is denying decline with irrational psychology, but without institutional (whale) support. Hence, a sideways corrective pattern is forming until the sell-off below $640 kicks in.

$640 remains the critical pivot. While price remains above $640 the largest players can hold price above this level until, eventually, perhaps initiating an advance. Our method dictates that we sell, but we’ll follow the whales and only fully commit if they concede decline below $640.


Bitcoin price remains in sideways indecision. Yesterday’ FOMC press release indicated that the Fed sees general improvement in the US economy but that they await further improvement to raise rates. Hence, there is a general perception of low risk in the glocbal economy which should see stocks rise and commodities, like gold and bitcoin slump.

Bitfinex Depth Chart and Buy/Sell Volume

Click here for the CCN.LA interactive bitcoin-price chart.

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The writer trades Bitcoin. Trade and Investment is risky. CCN.LA accepts no liability for losses incurred as a result of anything written in this Bitcoin price analysis report.

Bitcoin price charts from TradingView.
Image from Shutterstock.

Venzen Khaosan @venzen

Market analyst and Open source developer with a keen interest in blockchain technology, consensus mechanisms and the decentralizing effect. He has found a solution to the PKI mechanism. Email me to discuss.