By CCN: Fundstrat Co-Founder Thomas Lee has been covering the stock market for longer than he’s been analyzing bitcoin. And while crypto has been a tough nut to crack, he’s got a pretty good track record with stocks. Lee’s scorecard bodes well for his latest prediction that the S&P 500 index will reach 3,125 by year-end, which is higher than his previous forecast of 2,925.
So why so bullish? For one thing, stocks have already blown past Fundstrat’s previous target of 2,925 with the S&P currently hovering at 2,940. Also, while many analysts were anticipating a dismal first quarter for earnings, Fundstrat says results were “solid.” As a result, they’re also lifting their 2020 earnings estimates, which is a fly in the ointment to forecasters who suggest companies will miss their growth targets. Not to mention that paltry bond yields have investors hunting returns elsewhere, so it’s risk-on as evidenced not only by a bullish stock market but also in bitcoin.
— Sam Ro (@SamRo) May 3, 2019
Fundstrat’s been calling for a “powerful rally once incoming data could prove the resilience of the business cycle.” The stars have now aligned for the S&P 500. Tom Lee is quick to point out that the rally isn’t solely a function of the Fed’s more dovish position on interest rates. He says if they paused and the underlying business data was weak, stocks would never have rallied. But the data stemming from corporate America is underpinning the gains, which is not just a Fed-fueled phenomenon.
— Carl Quintanilla (@carlquintanilla) May 3, 2019
Also, he just can’t seem to get enough of the FANG stocks – Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, and Google parent Alphabet. He says tech and financial stocks are leading the pack for the remainder of the year.
.@fundstrat's Tom Lee just raised his year-end target on the S&P to 3,125
He joins us NOW to lay out the bull case for how we get there pic.twitter.com/tYAyVBmGqo
— CNBC Halftime Report (@HalftimeReport) May 3, 2019
‘Buy Stocks Even at new Highs’
Certainly, the narrative has changed in the economy with today’s robust jobs report. The unemployment rate is at its lowest level since 1969, and the economy has been expanding for the past 10 years. This is also a boon for the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
“Solid jobs gains shows U.S. resilience and further strengthens case to buy stocks even at new highs,” said Fundstrat’s Lee.
263,000 non-farm jobs were created last month, beating expectations. The unemployment rate also dropped to 3.6%, the lowest rate since December 1969. https://t.co/NPMcoQxh17 pic.twitter.com/47B3dndR2T
— CNBC (@CNBC) May 3, 2019
Lee is just as famous for his analysis on crypto as he is for the stock market. As for the haters who can’t seem to let go of Lee’s bullish 2018 bitcoin price target that never came true, he says:
“Guess you are not in bitcoin as a long term bet.”