The Dow Is Surging Because Bulls Ignored Dalio’s Dire Coronavirus Warning

The Dow Jones rallied 900 points, even after Ray Dalio said the coronavirus outbreak was a once-in-a-century threat to the stock market.
Posted in: Markets
Published:
March 4, 2020 8:10 PM UTC
  • The Dow Jones soared around 900 points on Wednesday.
  • Sturdy economic data and Fed easing expectations have steadied a nervous stock market. The comeback of Joe Biden isn’t hurting sentiment either.
  • But Ray Dalio has broken his silence on the coronavirus, and he warns of a terrible impact on financial markets.

The Dow Jones rallied 900 points on Wednesday after Joe Biden’s big night mixed with a global central bank stimulus effort to trigger dip-buying in the U.S. stock market.

But while Dow bulls are regaining their unbridled optimism, hedge fund billionaire Ray Dalio warns that the coronavirus outbreak could be a catastrophic risk event for financial markets.

Dow Jones Rallies on Fed Stimulus & Biden Bounce

The Dow Jones rallied 800 points on Wednesday, ignoring a dire warning from billionaire Ray Dalio. | Source: Yahoo Finance

Plugging their ears to Dalio’s dire warning, all three major U.S. stock market indices rallied aggressively on Wednesday.

  • The Dow rose 896.12 points or 3.46% to 26,813.53.
  • The S&P 500 climbed 3.1% to 3,095.47.
  • The Nasdaq bounced 2.74% to 8,921.81.

In the commodity sector, crude oil climbed alongside the stock market, only to slide into the red (-0.6%) in late afternoon trading. The gold price dipped 0.17% as fear receded on Wall Street.

On the data front, robust non-farm employment data and a stellar ISM non-manufacturing PMI reading reassured investors about the resilience of the U.S. economy.

But economic stimulus may be doing more to lift the Dow Jones than the fundamentals underlying economy itself. Considerable measures of liquidity and lower interest rates are being priced in around the world.

Although economists remain skeptical about the impact that the Fed can have on the stock market, Dow bulls continue to buy the dips aggressively – aided by substantial repo actions.

The fact that Joe Biden is now a firm favorite to win the Democratic nomination is the final catalyst for the brighter mood in the stock market today.

Alarming IMF Forecast Fails to Worry Stock Market

Despite the rally in the Dow, economic forecasts continue to be downgraded, as the IMF now expects a much more severe hit from the impact of COVID-19.

Sentiment may be trending toward risk-on, but the coronavirus outbreak hasn’t stopped intensifying.

Italy has more than 3,000 cases and is joining Japan in closing its schools nationwide.

Los Angeles County – the largest U.S. county by population and GDP – declared a state of emergency after five more cases were confirmed. The nation’s wealthiest city, New York, added four more cases of its own.

Ray Dalio: Coronavirus Is ‘Catastrophic Event’

Rau Dalio says the coronavirus could have a once-in-a-century impact on the stock market. | Source: REUTERS / Thomas Peter

While stock market bulls may be growing desensitized to the outbreak, one of the world’s wealthiest hedge fund managers, Bridgewater Chairman Ray Dalio, says that investors should be worried.

Dalio published a lengthy article outlining his belief about how serious the impact of the coronavirus will be on financial markets:

It seems to me that this is one of those once in 100 years catastrophic events that annihilates those who provide insurance against it and those who don’t take insurance to protect themselves against it because they treat it as the exposed bet that they can take because it virtually never happens.

Dalio also commented on the recent wild moves in the stock market, stating that they’re primarily the result of cash flow issues, rather than rational fundamental analysis.

Dow Stocks: Apple Soars, UnitedHealth Rockets After Super Tuesday

A healthy day for the Dow 30 saw stocks rallying across the board, and Apple (+3.4%) worked its way back towards the $300 handle.

Fueled by a stunning performance by moderate Joe Biden on “Super Tuesday,” UnitedHealth Group leaped an astonishing 11% to $289.

According to betting market data, Medicare For All advocate Bernie Sanders has just an 18% chance to win the Democratic nomination.

Boeing stock was the only Dow component flashing losses (-0.03%). It continues to struggle because global air travel has been decimated by the effects of the coronavirus.

Josiah Wilmoth edited this article for CCN.com. If you see a breach of our Code of Ethics or Rights and Duties of the Editor or find a factual, spelling, or grammar error, please contact us.

Last modified: June 24, 2020 1:04 AM UTC

Show comments
Francois Aure @bullishtulips

Financial speculator & author living in the hills in Los Angeles. J.D. but very much not a lawyer. Favorite trading books are anything written by Jack Schwager. | Follow Me On Twitter | Email Me | Article Compilation On Muck Rack