The lockdown measures and the increased number of people working from home have benefited graphics chip maker Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) immensely.
Last month Nvidia’s first-quarter revenues surged by 39% year-on-year . Datacenter revenues led the charge growing by 80% compared to a similar period a year earlier.
Analysts at Morgan Stanley were not impressed though. The Wall Street firm has downgraded the stock from “overweight” to “equal weight” .
Per Morgan Stanley, the stock has no room for more growth.
Said the investment bank:
The current multiple leaves little room for error.
Morgan Stanley cited Nvidia’s lofty valuation as a reason for the downgrade. Currently, Nvidia’s consensus forward price to earnings ratio stands at 46.08, according to Morningstar. The five-year average forward PE is 31.83.
The Wall Street firm has set a price target of $380. This would be an increase of around 6% from the current levels .
The V-shaped economic recovery that the Wall Street firm is expecting will further compound the valuation risk.
As economic activity around the world gradually returns to normal, such a sharp recovery is likely to result in the reduced data center and gaming revenues.
In the first quarter, data center revenues nearly doubled. Gaming revenues grew by 27% year-over-year. Nvidia’s graphics processing unit business is its fastest-growing segment. Revenues from the GPU unit are expected to be nearly 90% of all sales in 2021.
Despite Morgan Stanley’s downgrade, Nvidia still maintains an “overweight” consensus rating among the 42 analysts covering the stock. Only three analysts have issued a “sell” rating. Twenty-eight analysts have issued a “buy” recommendation.
The average stock price target is $381.20 with the highest is $430.
Nvidia has been one of the best-performing stocks this year on the tech-heavy Nasdaq exchange. Earlier this month, the stock hit an all-time high of $380.
Year to date, the stock is up by about 53% enabling it to put on a better performance than the FAANG stocks.
Since the year started, Facebook (NASDAQ: FB) is up 12%, Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) 37%, Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) 17%, Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) 31%, and Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) 5%.