Exciting Times Are Approaching Bitcoin and Ethereum

Journalist:
November 16, 2016

Bitcoin

Since yesterday’s column Bitcoin has shown a convincing penetration past the 3rd arc on the daily chart suggesting a test of the 2nd arc of the pair is likely coming.  When/if that resistance is broken, I suspect we will see a rapid advance.  (But let’s not get ahead of ourselves just yet.)

As you can see, the blue vertical line, which represents 180 degrees from the start of the rally 6 months ago, came one day after the spike low.  I now believe that this spike low was likely the 180 degree low I was expecting (though it did not go as deep as I expected).

The 8-hour chart shows a similar picture.  The 3rd arc pair is convincingly broken, AND we have a close above the 1×1 (45 degrees) from the swing high.  Overall this is a bullish picture.  However I would caution that until we get a close ABOVE the 3rd arc pair, we can’t assume anything.  So, my advice is if you go long (which I would not argue with) don’t risk too much.  The market might still get mean and cruel.

Ethereum

Ethereum is also showing signs of life. View the daily chart:

We are FINALLY seeing what looks like an imminent close above the 4th arc pair, just as we pass the end of the square.  I didn’t anticipate it would take so long, but we may (perhaps) see a close above the arc pair as soon as this daily bar.  When/if we get a close above the top of the square and the 1×3 angle ($11 would do it), this asset will likely get exciting.  If you remember, yesterday we saw a chart that suggests Ethereum might out-perform Bitcoin, so be alert.

This close-up of ethereum’s daily chart illustrates that we are testing arc resistance.  Will we get a close above?  We will soon see.

Overall, it seems that we are rapidly approaching an exciting time for cryptocurrency traders.

Happy trading!

Remember:  The author is a trader who is subject to all manner of error in judgement.  Do your own research, and be prepared to take full responsibility for your own trades.

Jim Fredrickson @jimfred1276

Jim has an MBA from the University of Southern California. He has been trading commodities, forex and bitcoin since 1993. You may email him directly at: jimfred1276 at gmail dot com. Feel free to follow him on twitter.