Posted in: Market NewsPolitics
Published:
February 4, 2020 11:40 AM UTC

Dow Futures Skyrocket as Iowa Disaster Gifts Trump Another Victory

As the Democrat campaign descends into chaos, Trump emerges united and victorious. Stock markets rallied on hopes that Trump will secure the White House for a second term.

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) futures jumped 300 points higher on Tuesday.
  • Stock market gets another “Trump bump” as the president takes a step closer to re-election.
  • The Democrat campaign descends into embarrassment in Iowa as no winner announced.

Stock market futures just got a huge “Trump bump” as the president looks increasingly likely to secure re-election in 2020. Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) futures are up 300 points after a chaotic and embarrassing night for the Democrats in Iowa.

An “inconsistency” in Iowa’s caucus voting system leaves the Democrats without a clear winner on Tuesday [CNN]. The debacle all-but hands Trump the momentum going into the 2020 presidential election and the stock markets are rejoicing [Jim Cramer on Twitter].

“I think the complete disarray of the Iowa Democratic Caucus and the acknowledgment that in 48 hours impeachment is over is playing a big role in the strength of the market” – Jim Cramer, CNBC.

Dow futures rocket 300 points higher

Dow futures contracts [Yahoo charts] skyrocketed almost 300 points higher on Tuesday, making it two-straight days in the green.

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Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) futures soared on Tuesday morning. Source: Yahoo Finance

S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq Composite futures were up 1% and 1.2% respectively.

Democrat disaster in Iowa

The Democrat embarrassment in Iowa leaves Trump and the Republicans revelling in victory. The Republicans emerge united while the Democrats missed a huge opportunity to drive momentum.

Trump supporters will use the Iowa disaster to mock the Democrat campaign and discredit whichever candidate does emerge as the winner. Members of the Trump campaign are already suggesting it was “rigged” [Twitter] and rallying Trump supporters to question the whole system [Fox News].

“Democrat party meltdown. They can’t even run a caucus and they want to run the government. No thank you” – Brad Parscale, campaign manager. In a later statement, he added, “It would be natural for people to doubt the fairness of the process.”

It’s a tried-and-tested Trump technique that strengthens his base. Elizabeth Warren’s campaign appeared to admit as much.

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“With every passing minute that there is a delay, we worry that the process will lose credibility.”

Dow Jones gets a Trump bump

Trump’s momentum coming out of the Iowa caucus is crucial for the Dow Jones.

It’s no secret the stock market favours a Trump presidency. Wall Street players have fallen over themselves to predict disaster under the Democrats while Trump uses the Dow Jones as a proxy for his own success.

The events in Iowa gift Trump the momentum going into 2020 and the stock market is riding the wave.

We won’t know anything until later Tuesday

At the time of writing, the Democrats still haven’t announced a winner from the Iowa caucuses. We’re expecting an announcement later in the day on Tuesday.

Sanders, Warren, Biden, and Klobuchar all took the opportunity to boast about the strength of their internal numbers. While former mayor South Bend, Ind. Pete Buttigieg pretty much declared victory [Telegraph].

“By all indications, we are going to on New Hampshire victorious.”

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No matter who emerges victorious, the winner has already missed the window of opportunity. The crucial Iowa momentum that once helped propel Obama to the White House has gone and the Democrats are on the back foot.

This article was edited by Samburaj Das.

Ben Brown @_ben_brown

Ben is a journalist with a decade of experience covering financial markets. Based in London, UK, his writing has appeared in The Huffington Post and he was Chief Editor at Block Explorer, the world's longest-running source of Blockchain data. Reach him at benjamin-brown.uk or on Twitter at _Ben_Brown. Email ben @ benjamin-brown.uk.

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