July 10, 2015 11:38 AM UTC

Bitcoin Price Rearing To Go!

Bitcoin price is drawing into a narrowing range following the recent high near $280 / 1740 CNY, and the implication is that a directional move is pending. The possibility of a fake-out, to either direction, exists and analysis looks at the signals of caution to aid a buy entry.

This analysis is provided by with a 3 hour delay. Read the full analysis here. Not a member? Join now and receive a $29 discount using the code CCN29.

Bitcoin Price Analysis

Time of analysis: 04h51 UTC

Bitstamp 1-Hour Chart

From the analysis pages of, earlier today:

Several indications in the chart imply that a move higher is pending.

  • MACD, bottom, has settled on its zero line
  • MACD’s Bollinger Bands are contracting
  • RSI, top, has reduced amplitude and is in the middle of its range
  • Price is tending to a rising 20MA (green) and positioned above the red 200MA

Before starting to build a position it is worth considering some cautions from previous price waves. Notice that from 22 June MACD was also contracting with all the conditions listed above being true at that time. Yet, price turned down to form a final corrective wave before the advance resumed.

The 20MA is our bellwether in this case. Once price starts advancing it should remain above the green 20MA. Any candle open and close below it – especially accompanied by MACD declining below its zero line – is a signal that market momentum to the downside can draw price below the 200MA.

The optimal moment of entry, both safe and low-risk, will be discussed with members in this morning’s next update.

Taking small losses is part of the game. Taking large losses can take you out of the game. – Doug Kass musings:


Until proven otherwise we assume that the direction of trend remains up. Bitcoin price action has been drawing sideways and may continue doing so. However, being too cautious could result in missing an opportunity. The use of the 20MA in the 1-hour chart is useful for making a position building entry with a tight stop loss. As outlined in previous analysis, advance above $280 implies a target near $300 / 1860 CNY. Should price fail to advance above $280 and return below the 1-hour 200MA, then $250 / 1550 CNY beckons.

Bitfinex orderbook depth and Buy/Sell Volume:

Click here for the CCN.LA interactive price chart.

What do readers think? Please comment below.

This analysis is provided by with a 3 hour delay. Read the full analysis here. Not a member? Join now and receive a $29 discount using the code CCN29.

Readers can follow Bitcoin price analysis updates every day on CCN.LA. A Global Economic Outlook report is published every Monday.


The writer trades Bitcoin. Trade and Investment is risky. CCN.LA accepts no liability for losses incurred as a result of anything written in this Bitcoin price analysis report.

Bitcoin price charts from TradingView.
Image from Shutterstock.

Venzen Khaosan @venzen

Market analyst and Open source developer with a keen interest in blockchain technology, consensus mechanisms and the decentralizing effect. He has found a solution to the PKI mechanism. Email me to discuss.

Leave a Comment