Top hedge fund managers weren’t scared away from the popular FAANG stocks during a dreadful Q4 for the U.S. stock market. Facebook (FB), Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Netflix (NFLX), and Alphabet (GOOGL) are among the 20 stocks most favored by a select group of over 400 large hedge funds analyzed by WalletHub.
Apple, Amazon, and Alphabet are in the top five on WalletHub’s list for the second straight quarter. All three stocks have gains of at least 400% over the past decade.
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Facebook jumps into the top 5 after Mark Zuckerberg’s company fell short in Q3 amid ongoing privacy concerns. Hedge funds appear more confident now that user numbers show the Cambridge Analytica scandal hasn’t stopped the social network’s growth.
Facebook’s daily users in North America are the same size as Snap’s entire user base. But given what we know about Twitter’s MAU to DAU ratio, Snap is most definitely the 2nd biggest social network in North America. pic.twitter.com/aaDZIErlMp
— Alex Heath (@alexeheath) February 5, 2019
Netflix was the only FAANG stock to miss the top 10. Hedge funds have been slow to warm to the streaming site, with some expressing concern about its spending. And that was before Netflix plunked down $100 million for a single year of “Friends.”
Let’s check out which ten stocks hedge funds were betting the most money on heading into 2019.
Hedge Funds’ Top 10 Stock Market Picks
10. Wells Fargo (WFC)
- Market Cap: $230.75 billion
- 2019 Returns (through February 22): +5.58%
Wells Fargo drops from ninth on the Q3 WalletHub list. Warren Buffett is one of the investment bank’s biggest hedge fund supporters, owning nearly $20 billion in shares. The value investing legend isn’t fazed by Wells Fargo’s accounting scandals, telling CNBC it will likely outperform most competitors over the next decade.
9. Bank of America (BAC)
- Market Cap: $281.18 billion
- 2019 Returns (through February 22): +17.35%
Bank of America flips spots with Wells Fargo and is the second of three banking stocks on this list. Warren Buffett owns massive stakes in all of them and bought another 18.92 million BAC shares in Q4.
8. JPMorgan Chase (JPM)
- Market Cap: $349.12 billion
- 2019 Returns (through February 22): +6.20%
JPMorgan rounds out the run of banks that hedge funds love the most. The Fed’s dovish turn was confirmed this week, but rate concerns aren’t slowing banks from enjoying the market’s rebound to start 2019. JPMorgan is the first major U.S. bank to launch a cryptocurrency. It’s also the first major U.S. bank to launch a cryptocurrency that major media outlets have so badly misunderstood, as CCN.com exposed this week.
7. Visa (V)
- Market Cap: $320.49 billion
- 2019 Returns (through February 22): +8.34%
Credit card companies Visa, Mastercard (MA) and American Express (AXP) all made WalletHub’s top 25. Cash is still king at global checkouts, leaving lots of growth potential for all three that hedge funds appear bullish on. Visa is billionaire investor and best-selling author Ken Fisher’s top stock pick. Fisher is predicting a good year for the stock market, noting among other things its strong historical performance during the third year of U.S. presidential terms.
6. UnitedHealth (UNH)
- Market Cap: $256.30 billion
- 2019 Returns (through February 22): +9.41%
UnitedHealth falls to sixth from fourth on WalletHub’s list. The most popular healthcare stock trades at a reasonable forward P/E of 16 and could be a contender to purchase Magellan Health. Magellan is exploring a sale after activist hedge fund Starboard Value built a 9.8% stake and started pressuring it to sell itself.
5. Alphabet (GOOG/GOOGL)
- Market Cap: $773.66 billion
- 2019 Returns (through February 22): +4.89%
Alphabet remains fifth on the list and begins a run of four straight FAANG stocks. Michael Burry surprisingly reemerged as a Google shareholder in Q4 after not filing for over two years. Burry’s incredible bet against the housing market before the financial crisis hit was documented in “The Big Short.”
4. Facebook (FB)
- Market Cap: $462.03 billion
- 2019 Returns (through February 22): +17.95%
Facebook moves into the top five and has been the best-performing stock on the list in 2019. Facebook is the favorite stock among the 50 largest hedge funds according to Citi Research, being owned by 15 of them.
3. Apple (AAPL)
- Market Cap: $815.60 billion
- 2019 Returns (through February 22): +8.32%
Apple maintains its grip on third place despite several big-name fund managers unloading it in Q4, including George Soros and David Tepper. Warren Buffett’s Berkshire sold a small number of shares (relatively speaking) as well, which made headlines.
“Many investors appear to treat Apple as just a consumer electronics company. In contrast, we see Apple as a more valuable integrated hardware, software and services company, which is both a growth company and a value stock. It sells for just 12 times expected earnings (updated for slowing China demand)—11 times if you value its cash separately. That means investors are, incorrectly in our opinion, pricing Apple as a below-average business.”
2. Amazon (AMZN)
- Market Cap: $801.43 billion
- 2019 Returns (through February 22): +5.22%
Amazon remains stuck between Apple and Microsoft on WalletHub’s list again in Q4. Famed hedge fund manager Bill Miller sees Amazon having top-line growth of 20% to 25% per year over the next three.
1. Microsoft (MSFT)
- Market Cap: $851.39 billion
- 2019 Returns (through February 22): +8.20%
Microsoft remains hedge funds’ most popular stock according to WalletHub’s list, holding off every FAANG challenger in Q4. Microsoft is still growing its cloud business by 75% and is staying out of trouble more than the other tech giants. Add its fortress balance sheet of over $50 billion in net cash, and it’s easy to see why hedge funds love Microsoft.
Hedge Fund Portfolio Crushing the Market by Double Digits in 2019
Goldman Sachs’ “Very Important Position” portfolio of 50 stocks that are popular among hedge funds is crushing the market with 14% gains in 2019. The strategy tracks the top 10 picks of 880 fundamentally-driven hedge funds.
“Goldman’s Ben Snider explains why in this note released Friday: “Recent hedge fund returns have benefited from the outperformance of the most popular long positions as well as the decision to increase net length ahead of the equity market bottom in December 2018.”
Most hedge funds aren’t doing all that well though. The average fund lost 5.7% last year, including 1.9% in December according to preliminary Bloomberg data.
The awful returns did have a silver lining, being enough to beat the S&P 500 (SPY), something hedge funds rarely manage of late. The HFRI Asset Weighted Composite Index also topped the SPY (with dividends) in 2018 for the first time in a decade.
The average hedge fund outperformed the S&P 500 in 2018 for the first time in a DECADE (albeit, only 31 basis points…but still…)
— Leslie Picker (@LesliePicker) January 8, 2019
It’s no big secret the $3 trillion hedge fund industry has collectively stunk up the investing joint since the financial crisis. It’s rarely beaten benchmark indexes, and even passive funds have begun consistently outperforming it, stealing both its thunder and assets under management.
Yet as the Goldman Sachs portfolio shows, dismissing any data coming out of the industry is foolish. Focusing on smaller groups of better performing hedge funds can uncover stocks that yield great results.
Hedge Funds are Cash Printing Machines for Biggest Managers
The biggest and most successful hedge funds all but print cash for their billionaire managers. Jim Simons’ Renaissance Technologies charges performance fees of 44% on the returns its Medallion Fund generates. He was the top-earning hedge fund manager last year, pulling in $1.6 billion.
Investors aren’t complaining about the high fees RenTech’s signature fund charges though. It’s returned 40% each year on average since its 1988 inception, after fees.
All those fees raked in by 2018’s other top-earning money managers also paid off for their clients last year. The flagship funds of Ray Dalio’s (2018 income: $1.26 billion) Bridgewater Associates and Ken Griffin’s ($870 million) Citadel Advisors were up by 14.6% and 9.1%, respectively, in 2018.
Hedge Fund Legend Takes $4 Billion Hit
A stock which didn’t make the top 10 is Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-B), which has fallen to 25th on the list. Berkshire is investing legend Warren Buffett’s holding company, and the 88-year-old billionaire isn’t immune to huge losses either, as CCN.com reported Friday.
Berkshire Hathaway has taken a hit of over $4 billion this week based on the number of Kraft Heinz (KHC) shares it owned on December 31 (over 325 million). KHC shares are down by 27% since Thursday’s close, devastating Berkshire’s $15.7 billion position. Berkshire’s own stock has fallen by 2% in response, shaving $10 billion from its market cap.
Kraft stunned the market Thursday afternoon by taking a $15.4 billion impairment charge in its Q4 results and slashing its dividend payments. Some of Kraft’s brands haven’t aged well in the changing food landscape, especially Kraft itself and Oscar Mayer.
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